Global impact map
How can export controls on semiconductors raise vehicle prices for European users by way of automotive production?
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Select a node to bring out its chain. Escape shows everything again.
Layers of the map
- User roles 2 nodesThe starting point of every impact chain
- User impacts 2 nodesWhat reaches people directly
- Industries and technology 3 nodesWhere products, services and jobs come from
- Base systems 2 nodesThe foundation everything above rests on
- Geopolitical drivers 2 nodesForces acting from the outside into every layer
How connections cross the layers
- Within one layer 3 relationshipsSource and target sit in the same layer. The impact stays where it is and does not move closer to the user.
- One layer inwards 6 relationshipsThe usual case. The impact moves one step closer to the user.
- Skipped layer 2 relationshipsThe impact passes a layer by. It reaches its target without acting on the layer in between.
- Feedback outwards 1 relationshipThe impact runs against the reading direction, away from the user and back onto its own cause.
Connection type
- Direct impact
- Indirect impact
- Feedback loop
Direction of impact
- Acts on
- Positive impact
- Negative impact
- Mixed impact
- Impact unclear
Strength
- Very low, Low
- Medium
- High
- Very high
Confidence
- Very low, Low
- Medium
- High, Very high
Node type
- User role
- User impact
- Industry
- Technology
- Base system
- Geopolitical driver
Impact paths
- to User role
Line width shows relative strength in four steps. Lower opacity means lower confidence. Both values also appear as text in the detail view.
List view of the graph (the same information without a pointing device)
User roles
| Node | Layer | Connections | Acts on | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer | User roles | 1 | No outgoing impacts. | |
| Employee | User roles | 1 | No outgoing impacts. |
User impacts
| Node | Layer | Connections | Acts on | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income and employment | User impacts | 2 | Employee (Mixed impact) · Across layers: One layer inwards | |
| Vehicle prices | User impacts | 3 | Consumer (Negative impact) · Across layers: One layer inwardsAutomotive production (Mixed impact) · Across layers: Feedback outwards |
Technologies
| Node | Layer | Connections | Acts on | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced chip manufacturing | Industries and technology | 2 | Semiconductor industry (Positive impact) · Across layers: Within one layer |
Industries
| Node | Layer | Connections | Acts on | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Automotive production | Industries and technology | 5 | Vehicle prices (Negative impact) · Across layers: One layer inwardsIncome and employment (Mixed impact) · Across layers: One layer inwards | |
| Semiconductor industry | Industries and technology | 4 | Automotive production (Negative impact) · Across layers: Within one layer |
Base systems
| Node | Layer | Connections | Acts on | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy | Base systems | 1 | Automotive production (Mixed impact) · Across layers: One layer inwards | |
| Raw materials | Base systems | 1 | Semiconductor industry (Mixed impact) · Across layers: One layer inwards |
Geopolitical drivers
| Node | Layer | Connections | Acts on | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitical tensions | Geopolitical drivers | 1 | Semiconductor export controls (Negative impact) · Across layers: Within one layer | |
| Semiconductor export controls | Geopolitical drivers | 3 | Advanced chip manufacturing (Negative impact) · Across layers: Skipped layerSemiconductor industry (Negative impact) · Across layers: Skipped layer |
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Directions of impact in this view: Negative impact, Positive impact, Mixed impact